Bill’s Stories, Rants & Raves

If it doesn't improve someone's life then what good is it? 

Ballgame Over. World Series Over. Yankees Win!

To someone who isn't a Yankee fan, New York Yankee/WABC AM Radio announcer John Sterling is probably the most obnoxious person on the planet. To us, he's just another New Yorker who loves his Yankees!

Here's how he called the final out...

Filed under  //   Baseball  

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WSJ on the Selling to the "Base of the Pyramid"

Yesterday's WSJ featured an interesting business section article entitled: "At the Base of the Pyramid."  The subtitle was even more interesting: "When selling to poor consumers, companies need to begin by doing something basic: They need to create the market."

I can certainly attest to the fact that this title is 100% correct.  All of the concepts being written about today in the blogosphere around minimum viable product and customer/product validation certainly apply here.  However there are other nuances to developing a market at the base of the pyramid that have to be considered.

The article makes 5 key points about selling to the base of the pyramid.

1. "The Base of the Pyramid is not actually a market." - Dr. Simanis sites two key factors for the existence of a consumer market: 1. conditioning to be believe that products offered are something a group of people would want to pay for; and 2. behavior and budgeting needs to be adapted to fit the products offered into their lives.  Neither of these conditions existence when a new product is first created that addresses the base of the pyramid.

2. "Companies must create markets—new lifestyles—among poor consumers. They must make the idea of paying money for the products seem natural, and they must induce consumers to fit those goods into their long-held routines."  Dr. Simanis in particular highlights the idea of working directly with local communities in developing new markets at the base of the pyramid.

3. Turn commercial failures into philanthropic success if the product is truly needed.  P&G did this with their safe water drinking product as this was clearly the right thing to do. A side effect of this effort is the tremendous good will they have build in the communities that now have safe drinking water.  They have also learned how to sell the product into this new market as a result of their efforts via newly formed partnerships.

4. Consider the changes a product represents to daily life (i.e. eliminate false positives in the research).  While P&G was sure that villagers needed their product.  They miscalculated the effect of "false positive" feedback in their research due to the required changes in daily routine for their potential customers that have been ingrained into their lives for generations.  Home remedies would need to be completely unlearned not to mention family conflicts that would arise with money being reallocated away from things like weekly treats.

5. Direct community involvement. This is the key to generating initial momentum according to Dr. Simanis.  By getting the community involved in shaping the business itself they have a vested stake in the success of the business. According to Dr. Simanis, "The sense of ownership this brings will help ensure that interest in the company's product will be widespread and sustained."  As a case in point an Indian company producing soy protein engaged local villagers to create a business concept around cooking outreach whereby housewives can prepare great tasting meals using this soy product.  The concept spread rapidly from village to village.

Filed under  //   finance   m-Via  

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Why Banks Suck for the Poor and a Viable Fix

Banks are failing US consumers in many ways.  Simple p2p inter-bank transfers are non existent outside of PayPal.  Countries in Europe have supported such transfers for decades. The average consumer can't easily use the US ACH network (NACHA) via the web as businesses can. Not one single major US bank has innovated in the area of interactive services (web sites, mobile sites, IVR systems, etc).  Bank branches are mostly useless and should be replaced by kiosks and interactive services. Banks offer little to no financial planning or education services for the average consumer.  However I believe banks' biggest failing is their unwillingness to effectively court and address the needs of the unbanked and low-income consumer, representing thousands of dollars in unnecessary fees and diminished savings potential for the average low income consumer.  This last point is the focus of this article. 

35% of Americans believe that they can't afford to have a bank account.  Some who fall into that category still do maintain a bank account because their employer requires it for direct deposit of salary funds.  I believe that the US banking system is failing the low income wage earner with ridiculously high fees, low quality of service and no nudge towards true financial saving and planning.  It is time for banks and government bodies that regulate them to step up and change with the times.

The costs of being unbanked have both a direct and indirect component.  Let's examine both briefly and then talk about a better approach.

Direct Costs

You've probably heard the expression, "it's really expensive to be poor."  "What an arrogant thing to say," was my reaction the first time I heard this.  But, examine the numbers and you realize it's true.  What do bank services really cost?  An honest accounting, or an "apples to apples" comparison to non-banked services must include: check cashing, check writing, bill pay, overdraft charges (versus payday loans), and money transfer.  By the way, most people who make less than $35k per year will overdraft their checking account in the US about once per month.  Using Wells Fargo as a baseline, current fees are:
Checking account, with checks - $8 per month
Check cashing - usually free if you are an account holder or 1% if you are not
Billpay - $10 per month
Overdraft (assume once per month) - $25 first overdraft, $35 thereafter
$300 Money transfer (US to Mexico) - $14 per transfer (average is 10x per year)

Wells Fargo also offers overdraft finance protection at about %120 interest per year per $40 overdraft.  However, most low-income workers will not qualify for this financing.  Recent changes to credit card banking regulations by congress have "forced" some banks to eliminate grace periods on credit card bills meaning that consumers can be charged hundreds of dollars per year in interest that they weren't paying before. 

Add up all these services and you're paying $766 per year in fees not including any interest charges.  Does the average low income consumer believe that they are getting $766 worth of value from a bank?  If you said "no way Jose" then I agree.  Think about that.  Over 25 years that amounts to over $20k in bank fees plus interest charges!  What could a low income wage earner do with $20k?

Only about 35% of low income wage earners in the US are online.  Some banks' services carry additional fees when you are talking to someone on the phone or go into a bank branch.  Of course this doesn't include the monthly cost of being online or having a computer.

Unfortunately the current alternatives for the unbanked aren't much better but at least the fees are cheaper.  In California walk in bill pay services will cost about $5 per month for utility bills. Check cashing fees of 1% amount to $200-300 per year.  A pay day loan on $100 over 15 days in California can cost $20. A $300 money transfer to Mexico can be had for about $15.  That represents about $590 in fees, 30% less than what it costs to be banked but still very expensive.  However, the real cost to the consumer of not being banked is the lack of personal savings.  There is no "nudge" in the current model to push low wage earner to save as they believe, and rightly so, that the fees will eat into most, if not all of their savings.

Indirect Costs

The indirect costs of being unbanked are potentially worse than being banked.

Not all debt is bad.  Some debt is good.  An ongoing safety net via a bank line or a home mortgage can be examples of good debt.  However low income wage earners can almost never establish the good credit score that it takes to move into the good debt world because they are unbanked which is a kiss of death for a credit score.  This pushes such consumers into the bad debt world of pay day loans and other scrupulous lending schemes.

The best way for low income wage earners to make an initial step towards basic financial planning and cash management is direct deposit.  It's the first key nudge towards a better life.  Without direct deposit the predictably irrational consumer behavior is to spend it all because "that's what you do with cash."  This doesn't make low income earners irresponsible, just human.  Watch a bank account on a screen and give an account holder investment options and interesting things will start to happen.  Direct deposit a portion of funds into an investment account first and even more amazing things will happen.  Again, the predictably irrational behavior of us humans dictates that to move forward we function best when bridges behind us are burned down.  Direct deposit is kind of like Napoleon burning the proverbial bridge behind the troops to make sure that only one outcome is possible.  I believe there is a way to motivate consumers to start using direct deposit even if they believe there balance will go to zero every month.

There is simply no exposure to a better and more secure financial life for unbanked consumers.

A Better Approach
What low income consumers need is access to financial services that are functionally appropriate, inexpensive, easy to understand with a built in nudge towards more responsible behavior.   Branchless banking based around the cell phone is the key to offering this type of service in an efficient and inexpensive manner.  Branchless banking leverages technology and existing retailers to save on costs and create a comfortable, non-bank like, environment for consumers.

Functionally appropriate services must include: direct deposit, cash/check based loading of accounts, p2p money transfer both domestic and cross border money transfers, bill pay, debit card access and access to micro credit and other credit products over time.  Paper checks should not be necessary.

Inexpensive to me means $300 per year in fees - all in. This can be accomplished with a $25 per month service plan which includes unlimited bill pay, unlimited domestic and cross border remits, direct deposit and 2 day overdraft protection for customers that are in good standing.  A $60 per month bank plan should also include a mobile phone and unlimited voice/text with a 1 year contract.  A second account option would be free for p2p money transfers only (like Paypal) but not include any other banking services.  

Cash drop off, and potential check cashing would happen via existing wireless retail stores via installable kiosks or via web screens.  These stores are very good at handling cash today because of their prepaid wireless business where they constantly take in cash to reload cell phones.   Dropping off cash once or cashing one check per month is included in the $25 fee.  The cost is $2 per transaction thereafter. Direct deposit is always free.  Cash out (withdrawal) for the free account holders could also be done at these wireless retailers for a small fee as well.  $2 seems like a good number for a withdrawal up to $200 per day per store.

All banking services mentioned should be "do-able" via SMS or IVR (interactive voice response) or mobile web.  Papers can be signed at wireless retailers when necessary but I can't find a situation where that is necessary except on the $60 contract plan.  Talking to an operator should cost extra after the first 90 days.  If a bank was generating $25M per month in fees, meaning 1 million customers in this model, it would have a billion dollar market capitalization.  I estimate that their gross margins would be in the 35-45% range.  The majority of the cost of service would be revenue share with the correspondent bank and wireless retail network.  Net profit would depend upon the ability for the service to grow virally by leveraging the p2p money transfers to add accounts instantly or word of mouth versus relying on expensive TV or print ad campaigns.

Several prepaid bank card issuers in the US now offer the close equivalent of correspondent banking services in the US by issuing prepaid debit cards on behalf of third parties.  These programs can easily act as the basis for such branchless banking services.  Most of the fees associated with these current offerings are too expensive but I'm already noticing downward pricing pressure in their business.  The days of ridiculous Green Dot top up fees for prepaid debit cards are almost over.

Close the Bank Branches Once and for All!

Traditional bank branches serve no real purpose.  I never go into a bank branch anymore.  I opened up all of my personal accounts online or over the phone.  I even opened up m-Via's Bank of America corporate accounts over the phone and followed up with signatures remotely.

Savings based products leveraging prepaid technology have much less friction in the sign-up process than do traditional "checking account" type services and can easily be opened without bank branches.  If you've ever bought a reload-able prepaid debit card (or reload-able gift card) at a supermarket then you know what I'm talking about.

So why do we need bank branches?  We don't. The most complicated of banking products: CD's, IRA's, credit products etc can all be handled via web for high income earners and via phone for low income earners.  It would be cheaper for a bank to give every new customer a cell phone than it is to maintain their bank branches the way they do. PayPal has millions of users with no physical outlets.

Mobile phone based branchless banking is the key to unlocking financial services for the underserved in the United States and many other countries throughout the world.  I hope many entrepreneurs like my brethren at m-Via get on this bandwagon as soon as possible.

I'm sure that there are many people who will disagree with my personal feelings as expressed here.  Please feel free to start a dialog pro or con in the comments section below.

Filed under  //   finance   m-Via  

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Help me sort through my books

I am absolutely drowning in books right now. Between gifts, TED's quarterly shipments, impulse purchases and friends' recommendations I am currently inundated with over 50 books in my ever growing stack of books that aren't read yet. I am committing to being fully caught up on my reading within the next 6 months. To do this I will eliminate one third of the books and prioritize the other two thirds. 

Here is my current list whittled down to less than 20, in no particular order, that I know I'm interested in. What would you read first?

The Case for God, Karen Armstrong
The Boy Who Harnessed the Wind, William Kamkwamba
Whole Earth Discipline, Stewart Bran
Free, Chris Anderson
Pursuit of Elegance, Michael May
Invention of Air, Steven Johnson
Reality Check, Guy Kawasaki
True Enough, Farhad Manjoo
McMafia, Misha Glenny
Musicophilia, Oliver Sacks
The Element, Ken Robinson
The Missing Class, Katherine S. Newman
The Elephant the Tiger and the Cell Phone, Sashi Tharoor
The Crusader (Ronald Regan), Paul Kengor
Book of Fate, Brad Meltzer
Wikinomics, Don Tapscott
The Great Game, Michael Kurland

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Time to End Major League Baseball's Antitrust Exemption

I love baseball.  I love following the statistics.  As a NJ boy born in the Bronx I love the Yankees/Red Sox rivalry and I love the playoffs.  The season is too long but I believe that will be addressed within 5 years by adding a second wild card team in each league and a shorter regular season.  What I can't stand and am now taking a public stand against, is the business monopoly of baseball.  Fans suffer for it and we shouldn't have to.  Specifically:

  1. Baseball has the highest salaries in professional sports but is the only major league sport where teams can't pick up and move if they want to which keeps salaries and ticket prices artificially high.  The Oakland/San Jose Stadium brouhaha and ticket prices at the new Yankee Stadium are cases in point.
  2. It costs over $100 per year for the MLB package on DirecTV but
  3. FOX Sports has an exclusive license to broadcast all national games on Saturday that supersedes the DirecTV deal causing Saturday afternoon blackouts
  4. It costs over $100 per season to stream MLB games online to your PC
  5. It costs $10 per season for the audio streaming version of the iPhone app BUT... to watch streaming video you need the online subscription above
  6. Topps now owns an exclusive license from MLB to issue baseball cards.  I was partial to Upper Deck for many years

I pay all of this money but I can't watch the Yankees/Red Sox game today on DirecTV today as DirecTV has blacked out the game because of this FOX Sports /MLB deal.

Baseball teams generate hundreds of millions of dollars per year in revenue from licensing TV rights.  The Yankees' YES network is worth over $1 billion.  YES charges distribution partners like Cablevision a significant yearly licensing fee even though they don't share their advertising revenue with them.

Smaller owners generate significant revenue because the Yankees, Mets and Red Sox are now forced to share profits with other teams even though teams like the A's spend nothing and have no motivation to do so.  Now that I think of it shouldn't SAP, Oracle, IBM and Microsoft be forced to share profits with other smaller software companies?

And yet, where is the competition to or within the MLB and MLBAM.  MLBAM, the AM stands for Advanced Media, is a wholly owned subsidiary of MLB that owns all digital broadcast and gaming rights to MLB.  They generate the online/mobile revenue mentioned above which I believe is a ridiculously and wildly profitable business using some simple back of the envelope calculations.  We'll come back to this.

Why isn't there an MLB stadium in San Jose?  The answer is the San Francisco Giants and their legal right, granted through baseball's antitrust exemption, to collude with other MLB owners to prevent otherwise legal competition within "granted" territories.  Sounds like the mafia.  To be clear it is not illegal for one team to have territorial claims that prevent another team from moving into their territory. These rights granted by the MLB "Constitution" are protected by a government granted antitrust exemption which dates back over 80 years to 1922 when the US Supreme Court decided that MLB did not constitute interstate commerce.  This antitrust exemption is at the root of every business issue I have with baseball today.

Baseball players make too much money.  However, if teams could go where the real markets are we would have a concentration of major league teams in large cities and minor league teams in smaller cities with lower costs that were more starved for entertainment.  Without the antitrust exemption there would be a baseball stadium in San Jose and probably a fourth stadium in Southern California as well as a stadium in northern New Jersey with existing teams in smaller markets moving to those areas.   If this were to happen player salaries would go down, ticket prices would go down and the quality of play would go up as there would be fewer teams left over with a more robust minor league system.  At the same time all of the minor league teams would land in smaller markets that would still enjoy a reasonably high level of play.  Alternatively if local governments decided to subsidize teams to keep them around than that would also be a possibility.

What about the other business of online media distribution and licensing for things like live game streaming?  Why can't ESPN, Yahoo or Google also broadcast live audio/video feeds of games?  The recision of the antitrust exemption should be extended to MLBAM and there should be competition in this business.  Eventually standard definition video streams would be free and ad subsidized and high definition streams would cost a little something and be ad subsidized until the bandwidth costs came under control.  

What I want is:
  1. reasonable daily access to any baseball game (TV, PC, mobile) while it's being played at market rates.
  2. market driven dynamics that keeps salaries at the right level and allow teams like the A's to easily move to San Jose or the Reds to move to New Jersey.
  3. market driven ticket prices with increased local competition that keeps ticket prices at the right level.
  4. access to baseball collectibles such as online or digital baseball cards including statistics, video samples, etc at market prices with an open secondary market.
Something has to be done to create competition in baseball where competition should exist. There is no way that any of these things are going to happen until baseball's antitrust exemption is rescinded.

Filed under  //   Baseball   Internet   mobile   Yankees  

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Mobile Money in the News

   
Click here to download:
Mobile_Money_in_the_News.zip (74 KB)

"Mobile money presents a shining opportunity to start a second wave of mobile-led development across the poor world. Operators, banks and regulators should seize it." That is a quote from the Leader in this week's Economist.

M-Pesa is cited as the best example of a mobile money transfer network that has made a significant improvement in people's lives. According to the author, "The incomes of Kenyan households using M-PESA have increased by 5-30% since they started mobile banking, according to a recent study."

In a second article entitled "Beyond Voice" the author highlights branchless banking using phones in place of ATMs in the Philippines, South Africa, Zambia and Kenya.  I wrote about the mobile money transfer services offered in the Philippines a few months ago.  In that article I mentioned that in 2008 there were: "70 thousand new users, 3,500 local merchants, launch of a successful SMS based mobile phone marketing program, formation of relationships with 45 rural banks including over 650 branches and 200% growth in transactions over the past year. "

Earlier this week Pierre Omidyar, the founder of eBay posted a comment on Twitter that Mohamed Yunus, the Nobel Peace Prize winning founder of Grameen Bank made a comment during the Clinton Global Initiative to the effect that "mobile phone penetration is the greatest thing to happen in human history." I certainly don't know if this is true but I believe that mobile phone adoption could certainly be the tide that raises all ships in the 21st century.

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A Brief Horror Story - Guadalajara to Los Gatos...

After many days of meetings in stone huts, small rural villages, even a village run by local mafia who don't like Gringos; of staying in hotels that make a YMCA look like the Dorchester not to mention long drives through mud slide laden highways (at night) all I wanted yesterday was to sleep in my own bed back in boring Silicon Valley.

Fact: A direct flight from GDL to SFO normally takes about 4.5 hours, allowing for 3 hours of travel and wait time. 15 hours later...

My first attempt out of GDL to SFO was supposed to be via Houston as I booked the flight too late and the direct flight was sold out. So, we're on the passenger bus taking us to the plane and then we're told to get off the bus as the plane has no breaks, aka... busted plane. I for one appreciated the honesty - wouldn't you like to know if your plane has no breaks before you get on it? We are told the delay will be 3 hours. Fine, accept that means I miss my connecting flight out of Houston. Which means I spend the night in Houston or I spend the night in Guadalajara again - airport is about 90 minutes from downtown Guadalajara.

No way. I need my bed.

I beg the nice people of Continental to please get me home tonight. By the way, people at GDL don't understand the concept of waiting in line but that's another story. Continental then rebooks me on a Mexicana flight to Oakland which is the best they can do. Of course my car is in the LTP garage at SFO. Fine I say. I'll make my own way across the bay to SFO to pick up my car. So I have my bags pulled from the plane and get myself booked on the flight to OAK.

We're on the passenger bus taking us to the plane (again) and then we're told to get off the bus as the airport is now closed due to a small plane crash at the end of the runway. Youvegottobekiddingme.

We're told it will take 2-3 hours to clean up the mess. We're also told no one was hurt which is good because one, I don't like people getting hurt and two, I can continue my rant guilt free.

I go back up to the lounge area to meet Carlos, also from m-Via, who was on a 9:30PM flight to LAX and we grab a quick bite. I half expected the flight to be gone when I got back to my gate but alas the story will not end on such a poor note.

We get on the bus and actually make it to the plane this time. All is well except we got on the plane to find out that our plane has been infested by gnats. Yes gnats. A swarm of them. Everyone is swatting pillows at the gnats in unison. It could have been a Michael Jackson video of some kind. Like a remake of Thriller.

The plane takes off and eventually the gnats disappear for some reason. I'm not sure why, but I'm sure some engineer out there can explain it to me.

Everything up to here I wrote on the plane last night. Here is how the story ends...

We land at OAK at 11:30PM which is 9.5 hours after my ordeal started. I get through customs and baggage claim. I walk around like an idiot for 20 minutes trying to find the taxi stand at OAK and finally request to be taken to SFO LTP garage. "No problem Sir." We take 880S to 92W (San Mateo Bridge). However the driver claims that the entrance to 92W is completely closed and he'll have to take 84W (an extra 20 miles out of the way). Nonsense I say. It can't be closed. He insists it is and is upset that I'm accusing him of lying - which I'm not, I just assume he's confused. He has the keys and is in the driver seat so we take 84W (Dumbarton Bridge) over to Menlo Park and then hop on 101N to get back up to SFO. $140 faire with tip. Nice.

60 minutes later I'm in bed. How was your day?

By the way, kudos to the kind folks at Continental for helping me get home. Kudos also to my Amazon Kindle and Dan Brown for keeping me sane while waiting. I'm 20% into his new book which so far is fascinating. But that's a story for another time.

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m-Via's Fact Finding Trip Through Mexico

How do you validate a product when your customers aren't on the Internet, are in a different country, don't speak English and are at the bottom of the regional income pyramid? Answer: you pack your bags, get on a plane and find some good translators.

In preparation for our new service release we are going on a fact finding mission through several Mexican states. Without giving away too many details, we'll be starting in Morelia, the largest city in the state of Michoacán and zigzag our way through at least 3 other states over a couple of weeks. You can see Morelia in the lower right corner of the map above with Guadalajara in the upper left corner (barely visible on the map) in the state of Jalisco.

We will be talking to hundreds of Mexican citizens who receive money from the US. Myself along with our head of marketing, Alfredo Narez and our head honcho for Mexico, Carlos Muller will be doing the interviews. We probably won't be sharing all of our findings with the public but I'll definitely try and publish as many interesting anecdotes as I can about our travails through the south central Mexican country side

Our goal on this trip is not to make sure that people will want to buy our service.  We'll be making yet another trip for that. Our goal on this trip is to assess the pain that we believe people have and map it to our predisposed beliefs.  I am sure it will be an amazing trip and I'm already learning a lot from the first set of conversations we've had including our hotel staff. We heard a horror story about the use of coyotes for arranging transport to the US. I also had an interesting discussion with our "tour guide" who lives in a remote village where most families receive money from the US. We'll definitely be visiting his neighbors.

Please wish us luck.

Filed under  //   finance   m-Via   mobile  

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Patents - Use Them or Lose Them?

agh

At the end of a rather "ho hum" article about Andy Grove in this week's Economist Andy Grove dropped a bomb shell. To the dismay of his former board, shareholders, and even family he stated that firms must use their patents or lose them.

I couldn't agree more with Andy Grove on this point.

The patent process is broken and has all but stopped adding value to the capitalist process.  I posed a question on YCombinator News about what the audience there, primarily software developers I believe, thinks about patents.  The responses have been surprisingly one sided so far in agreement with Andy's perspective.

According to Wikipedia: "The legal basis for the United States patent system is Article 1, Section 8 of the United States Constitution, wherein the powers of Congress are defined. It states, in part:"

"The Congress shall have Power ... To promote the Progress of Science and useful Arts, by securing for limited Times to Authors and Inventors the exclusive Right to their respective Writings and Discoveries;"

How does a patent sitting on a shelf promote the science and useful arts?  Clearly it does not.

Of course the gun with the whiskey glass attachment not to mention the vacuum like device intended to treat erectile disfunction have been absolutely essential in the promotion of the science and useful arts.

Is there a legal basis for starting over or can the existing system be salvaged?

I believe the system can be saved and the process for saving it is quite simple.  Modify every patent award such that if a product has not been brought to market in a reasonable time frame that takes advantage of the patent granted then the patent falls into the public domain.  Such a time frame should be no longer than 12 months.  12 months may seem short but given the incredibly long process for getting a patent in the first place, during which a product can be developed, it's really not that long.  The government could grant extensions in cases where it is proven that a product is truly in development but more time is needed to bring the product to market.

I have been trying to come up with an example of where the use it or lose it concept hurts the capitalist process or is potentially at odds with the promotion of science or useful arts.  I've been unable to come up with a good example or scenario.

Use your patent or lose it I say.

Maybe the patent office needs a nice ass whooping via that contraption above.  I assume they could build the device via the patent they issued.  Of course, then there is that pesky licensing issue.

Filed under  //   finance   startups  

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Great Paul Graham Quotes from his FBFund Talk (via Dave McClure)

I was watching Dave McClure's quote stream during Paul Graham's FBFund talk last night and I couldn't wait for the next quote to stream.  Without Dave's permission (i.e. I'll take this down if he wants) I've listed the quotes here to make it easier for everyone to comment.  The quotes are listed LIFO order.  Thanks Dave!

1.   PG: "one thing at YC we learned that determination matters FAR more than intelligence." #fbFund

2.   PG: "we've learned if yr talking 2 bunch startup founders & can't tell who leader is, that means there *isn't* one." #fbFund

3.   PG: "VCs like charismatic founders. however, that's not always correlated w/ success. sometimes Nerds have good ROI." #fbFund

4.   PG: "Pattern recognition is what you fall back on when you don't quite understand something..." #fbFund

5.   PG: "Startups rarely die from competitors. They die of  *SUICIDE*." (stupidity, lack of money, lack of customers) #fbFund

6.   PG: "Running a tech startup w/o a tech founder is about as hard as playing pool with a piece of rope." #fbFund

7.   PG: "investors notice you the *third* time they hear your name." (keep plugging away, keep working it) #fbFund

8.   PG: "Realize there's a *war* on. yr in Mad Max world, there's no gas, gangs roam the street. be careful, be frugal." #fbFund

9.   PG: "Realize how dangerous the situation is for a startup. By default, YOU WILL DIE. take it seriously." #fbFund

10.        PG: "Corollary: it could be really *bad* if you pick the *wrong* number/metric." #fbFund #metrics

11.        PG: "pick a number or metric, and try to make it go up." #fbFund #UpAndToTheRight

12.        PG: "i'm convinced that startup success comes from multiple iterations." @ericries #leanstartup #fbfund

13.        PG: "When product companies start to die, they become consulting co's. but it's not as bad as dying" #fbFund

14.        PG: "don't over-optimize on valuation. if u get good investor / decent offer, take it." #fbFund (not sure i agree w/ this 1)

15.        PG: "having fabulous customer service will help you in *numerous* ways..." #fbFund

16.        PG: "Frat boys *dream* of becoming a VC... it's like being a frat boy with an expense acct. #awesomeness #fbFund

17.        PG "the test for whether a VC says yes or no... look at your hands. if yr not holding a term sheet, they said NO." #fbFund

18.        PG "board meetings, like launching, help you get shit done (every month/qtr) & find out why/how you suck" #fbFund

19.        PG: "launching helps you find out how you suck. (until u launch, u might suck, but u won't know why)" #fbfund

20.        PG: after launch, u have initial traffic spike then drop, & wait 4 it to gradually rise. this period = "Trough of Sorrow" #fbfund

21.        Paul Graham talking about the Startup experience... website traffic = correlated with entrepreneur motivation #fbfund

Filed under  //   startups  

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